San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-03-03 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 62.3%
SJS: 37.7%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.42
SJS: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 21-10-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.58 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 18-16-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | MIN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.922 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:41 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:56 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:46 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:01 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 00:23 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:38 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:01 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7