Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-03-03 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 50.4%
VAN: 49.6%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.09
VAN: 3.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • ANA at home vs VAN: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | ANA 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | ANA |
| 2026-03-24 | VAN 3 - 5 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-29 | VAN 2 - 0 ANA | VAN | ANA |
| 2025-11-26 | ANA 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | ANA |
| 2025-04-05 | VAN 6 - 2 ANA | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 5 | 0 | 0.16 |
| 1 | VAN | 18 | 0 | 1.08 |
| 2 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | VAN | 11 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 3 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 3 | VAN | 10 | 0 | 0.43 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.