Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-03-04 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 4 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 44.9%
FLA: 55.1%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.11
FLA: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 18-12-6 | 0.911 SV% | 2.52 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 22-19-1 | 0.873 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | NYR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.973 | 0.789 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • NYR at home vs FLA: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | FLA 1 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2025-04-14 | FLA 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | FLA |
| 2024-12-30 | FLA 5 - 3 NYR | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-24 | NYR 1 - 3 FLA | FLA | NYR |
| 2024-06-01 | FLA 2 - 1 NYR | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:39 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:11 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:56 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:26 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:11 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:01 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.1 - 3.1