Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-03-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 60.3%
SEA: 39.7%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.38
SEA: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | CGY | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | CGY 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | CGY |
| 2025-12-18 | CGY 4 - 2 SEA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-25 | CGY 4 - 3 SEA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-02-08 | CGY 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | CGY |
| 2025-02-02 | SEA 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:04 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:50 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 12:34 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 00:21 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:46 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:29 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1