Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-03-05 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 54.9%
FLA: 45.1%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.78
FLA: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | NJD | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • NJD at home vs FLA: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | FLA 1 - 0 NJD | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-16 | NJD 3 - 1 FLA | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-14 | NJD 1 - 2 FLA | FLA | NJD |
| 2024-11-14 | FLA 2 - 6 NJD | NJD | FLA |
| 2024-11-12 | FLA 1 - 4 NJD | NJD | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:30 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 11:45 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:01 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 12:37 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:33 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:16 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.8 - 2.8