Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

PIT: 69.0%

CBJ: 31.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.81

CBJ: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	14	1	1.44
1	CBJ	10	0	0.34
2	PIT	7	0	0.28
2	CBJ	24	0	1.17
3	PIT	20	3	1.50
3	CBJ	19	2	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9