St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-03-05 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 63.6%
STL: 36.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.64
STL: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | NYI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.967 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NYI at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | NYI 1 - 2 STL | STL | NYI |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3 - 1 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-17 | STL 1 - 0 NYI | STL | STL |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4 - 2 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-02-22 | STL 4 - 0 NYI | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:21 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:30 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:32 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:47 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:55 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7