Montreal Canadiens at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-03-05 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 61.1%
MTL: 38.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.57
MTL: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | NSH | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs MTL: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | MTL 3 - 2 NSH | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-04-06 | NSH 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | NSH |
| 2024-12-05 | MTL 3 - 0 NSH | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-05 | NSH 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | NSH |
| 2023-12-10 | MTL 1 - 2 NSH | NSH | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:24 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 05:11 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 16:39 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 16:45 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 12:19 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | NSH | Goal |
| 4 | 00:17 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8