Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-03-05 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 6 - 7 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SJS: 30.9%

DAL: 69.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.35

DAL: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	1	0.73
1	DAL	23	1	0.95
2	SJS	12	2	1.43
2	DAL	8	0	0.52
3	SJS	6	0	0.40
3	DAL	24	1	1.08
4	SJS	0	0	0.00
4	DAL	4	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 6 - 7 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.3 - 3.7