Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-03-07 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 66.6%
MTL: 33.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.68
MTL: 2.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 25-3-1 | 0.902 SV% | 2.29 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 19-6-4 | 0.889 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | CAR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.727 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • CAR at home vs MTL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-25 | MTL 4 - 0 CAR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-30 | MTL 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:53 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:02 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:31 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.7 - 2.1