Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

CAR: 73.8%

MTL: 26.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.63

MTL: 2.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CAR at home vs MTL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.09
1	MTL	11	0	0.59
2	CAR	20	1	1.31
2	MTL	18	0	0.95
3	CAR	27	1	2.23
3	MTL	8	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 4.6 - 2.2