Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

FLA: 43.2%

PHI: 56.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.74

PHI: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	1	1.20
1	PHI	11	0	0.49
2	FLA	11	0	0.52
2	PHI	12	0	0.66
3	FLA	10	0	0.20
3	PHI	17	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3