TBL vs CGY - 2024-03-07
2024-03-07 • Amalie Arena
TBL 3 - 6 CGY
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.8%
CGY: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.38
CGY: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 14-18-2 | 0.897 SV% | 2.97 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:40 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 14:28 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:11 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 08:34 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 09:25 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 12:29 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 06:04 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 12:17 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 14:35 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
TBL 3 - 6 CGY
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0