Minnesota Wild at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2024-03-07 • Mullett Arena
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 50.2%
MIN: 49.8%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.93
MIN: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 22-10-6 | 0.911 SV% | 2.54 GAA
| Stat | ARI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs MIN: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-12 | MIN 4 - 1 ARI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-03-07 | ARI 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | ARI |
| 2024-02-14 | ARI 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-01-13 | MIN 0 - 6 ARI | ARI | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 01:21 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:28 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:00 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:16 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4