Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-03-07 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

VGK: 47.6%

VAN: 52.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.23

VAN: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	11	0	0.31
1	VAN	21	2	1.65
2	VGK	16	0	0.48
2	VAN	24	1	0.96
3	VGK	20	0	0.97
3	VAN	6	1	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.2 - 3.2