New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-03-07 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 56.1%
NYI: 43.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.78
NYI: 3.47
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 19-16-2 | 0.886 SV% | 3.57 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 22-14-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.54 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.893 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • SJS at home vs NYI: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | NYI 4 - 3 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-08 | SJS 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | SJS |
| 2025-01-18 | NYI 4 - 1 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-03-07 | SJS 2 - 7 NYI | NYI | SJS |
| 2023-12-05 | NYI 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:19 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:31 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:45 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:24 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:49 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:04 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:21 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 16:25 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 08:08 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 7 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 3.5