Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-03-09 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 53.8%
CAR: 46.2%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.83
CAR: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 18-14-1 | 0.888 SV% | 3.05 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 25-3-1 | 0.902 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.926 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.866 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | NJD |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | NJD |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-27 | NJD 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:28 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:27 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 02:50 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:49 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9