Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-03-09 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 58.8%
PIT: 41.2%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.03
PIT: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 24-13-3 | 0.905 SV% | 2.80 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-13-7 | 0.890 SV% | 2.74 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.923 | 0.848 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.971 | 0.936 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs PIT: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | PIT 5 - 4 BOS | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-03-03 | BOS 2 - 1 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2026-01-11 | BOS 1 - 0 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-13 | PIT 1 - 4 BOS | BOS | PIT |
| 2025-03-01 | PIT 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:26 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:48 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:25 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:36 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:33 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1