Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-03-09 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 61.7%
CGY: 38.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.05
CGY: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | FLA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • FLA at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | FLA 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | FLA |
| 2025-03-01 | FLA 3 - 0 CGY | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-14 | CGY 3 - 0 FLA | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-03-09 | FLA 5 - 1 CGY | FLA | FLA |
| 2023-12-18 | CGY 3 - 1 FLA | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:23 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:51 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:19 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:12 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:55 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:30 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7