Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-03-09 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 63.4%
CHI: 36.6%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.07
CHI: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | WSH | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.941 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | CHI 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | CHI |
| 2026-01-03 | WSH 2 - 3 CHI | CHI | WSH |
| 2025-04-04 | WSH 5 - 3 CHI | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-17 | CHI 3 - 2 WSH | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-03-09 | WSH 4 - 1 CHI | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:01 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 08:45 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 13:36 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 17:24 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:49 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1