Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-03-09 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 62.3%
DET: 37.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.62
DET: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-8-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.56 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 23-12-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.57 GAA
| Stat | VGK | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | DET 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | DET |
| 2025-11-04 | VGK 1 - 0 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-22 | VGK 6 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-16 | DET 3 - 0 VGK | DET | DET |
| 2024-03-09 | VGK 5 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:08 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 14:36 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 19:32 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:44 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 10:07 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 10:44 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:16 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8