Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-03-09 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 59.3%
DAL: 40.7%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.87
DAL: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-12-9 | 0.897 SV% | 2.68 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 25-10-4 | 0.898 SV% | 2.67 GAA
| Stat | LAK | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.857 | 0.869 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs DAL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | LAK 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | LAK |
| 2025-12-15 | DAL 4 - 1 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-23 | DAL 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | DAL |
| 2025-02-28 | DAL 6 - 2 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-07 | LAK 5 - 4 DAL | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:26 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:34 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:52 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:47 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:20 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8