Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-03-10 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 2 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CAR: 80.1%

CGY: 19.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.09

CGY: 2.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CAR at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	1	1.73
1	CGY	3	0	0.09
2	CAR	21	1	0.94
2	CGY	14	0	1.12
3	CAR	15	1	0.84
3	CGY	15	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.1 - 2.1