New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-03-10 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 51.8%
NYI: 48.2%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.60
NYI: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 24-14-2 | 0.894 SV% | 3.02 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 22-14-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.54 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.893 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | ANA 5 - 1 NYI | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-11 | NYI 5 - 2 ANA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-09 | ANA 4 - 1 NYI | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-29 | NYI 1 - 3 ANA | ANA | NYI |
| 2024-03-10 | ANA 1 - 6 NYI | NYI | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:11 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 07:28 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:28 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:24 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:34 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:56 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:12 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.6 - 3.4