New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-03-10 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 52.5%
NYI: 47.5%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.48
NYI: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | ANA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs NYI: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | NYI 5 - 2 ANA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-09 | ANA 4 - 1 NYI | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-29 | NYI 1 - 3 ANA | ANA | NYI |
| 2024-03-10 | ANA 1 - 6 NYI | NYI | ANA |
| 2023-12-13 | NYI 4 - 3 ANA | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:11 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 07:28 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:28 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:24 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:34 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:56 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:12 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 6 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.5 - 3.3