New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-03-11 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 58.3%
NJD: 41.7%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.34
NJD: 2.42
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 19-12-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 19-15-1 | 0.888 SV% | 3.05 GAA
| Stat | NYR | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.906 | 0.911 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs NJD: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | NJD 6 - 3 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-05 | NJD 4 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-09 | NYR 3 - 2 NJD | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-23 | NJD 5 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-12-02 | NYR 1 - 5 NJD | NJD | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:25 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:08 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:26 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:47 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.3 - 2.4