Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-03-12 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 7 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 64.1%
DET: 35.9%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.35
DET: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 16-8-3 | 0.914 SV% | 2.66 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 23-12-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.57 GAA
| Stat | BUF | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.845 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • BUF at home vs DET: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | DET 4 - 5 BUF | BUF | DET |
| 2025-10-22 | BUF 4 - 2 DET | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-12 | DET 7 - 3 BUF | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5 - 6 DET | DET | BUF |
| 2024-11-02 | DET 2 - 1 BUF | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 10:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 12:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 13:00 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:29 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 04:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:29 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 13:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:32 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 7 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7