New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-03-12 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 1 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (79% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 78.9%

NYR: 21.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.21

NYR: 2.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.54
1	NYR	15	0	0.84
2	CAR	15	1	0.84
2	NYR	11	0	0.58
3	CAR	18	3	1.39
3	NYR	15	2	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 78.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.2 - 2.3