Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-03-12 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 61.9%
PIT: 38.1%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.44
PIT: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 19-9-7 | 0.883 SV% | 2.85 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-13-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | OTT | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.951 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • OTT at home vs PIT: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | PIT 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | PIT |
| 2025-12-18 | OTT 4 - 0 PIT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-30 | PIT 1 - 0 OTT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-11 | PIT 0 - 5 OTT | OTT | PIT |
| 2024-12-14 | OTT 3 - 2 PIT | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11:06 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:37 | OTT | Goal |
| 4 | 03:13 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7