Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-03-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CGY: 41.7%

COL: 58.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.67

COL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CGY at home vs COL: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CGY 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-09	COL 3 - 1 CGY	COL	COL
2026-03-30	COL 9 - 2 CGY	COL	COL
2025-03-31	COL 2 - 3 CGY	CGY	COL
2025-03-14	CGY 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	0	0.36
1	COL	23	1	1.35
2	CGY	15	0	0.79
2	COL	22	0	1.09
3	CGY	13	0	0.67
3	COL	4	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2