Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-03-12 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 62.3%
VGK: 37.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.29
VGK: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | SEA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.946 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SEA at home vs VGK: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VGK 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | VGK |
| 2025-10-11 | SEA 2 - 1 VGK | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-04-10 | VGK 2 - 1 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-21 | VGK 6 - 2 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-08 | SEA 4 - 3 VGK | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:14 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:36 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:00 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 01:55 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:21 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:30 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:23 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:43 | SEA | Goal |
| 4 | 03:01 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8