Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-03-13 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 50.5%
NSH: 49.5%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.01
NSH: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • WPG at home vs NSH: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | WPG 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | WPG |
| 2025-11-29 | NSH 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NSH |
| 2025-10-18 | WPG 4 - 1 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-27 | NSH 2 - 1 WPG | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-07 | WPG 5 - 2 NSH | WPG | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPG | 14 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 1 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 2 | WPG | 10 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 2 | NSH | 25 | 0 | 1.38 |
| 3 | WPG | 16 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 3 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.85 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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