Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-03-13 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 55.1%
NSH: 44.9%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.78
NSH: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.968 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • WPG at home vs NSH: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | NSH 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NSH |
| 2025-10-18 | WPG 4 - 1 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-27 | NSH 2 - 1 WPG | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-07 | WPG 5 - 2 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-30 | WPG 3 - 0 NSH | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:38 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 14:32 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:29 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:51 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 13:12 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1