Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-03-13 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 56.7%
COL: 43.3%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.16
COL: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-20-4 | 0.873 SV% | 3.75 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 22-4-5 | 0.914 SV% | 2.25 GAA
| Stat | VAN | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.804 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.873 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3 - 1 VAN | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4 - 5 COL | COL | VAN |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3 - 0 COL | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-12-16 | VAN 3 - 1 COL | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:24 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 02:44 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:23 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:57 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 03:19 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:43 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 00:30 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3