Arizona Coyotes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-03-14 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Arizona Coyotes
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 68.0%
ARI: 32.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.56
ARI: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 23-12-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.57 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | DET | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs ARI: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | DET 1 - 4 ARI | ARI | DET |
| 2024-03-08 | ARI 4 - 0 DET | ARI | ARI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | ARI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:00 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:36 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:02 | ARI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:56 | ARI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5