Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-03-14 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

MTL: 43.9%

BOS: 56.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.83

BOS: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • MTL at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	MTL 3 - 2 BOS	MTL	MTL
2026-01-24	BOS 4 - 3 MTL	BOS	BOS
2025-12-23	BOS 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	BOS
2025-11-15	MTL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	MTL
2025-04-03	MTL 4 - 1 BOS	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	1	0.71
1	BOS	15	1	1.49
2	MTL	11	1	0.88
2	BOS	9	0	0.51
3	MTL	11	0	0.48
3	BOS	16	2	1.44
4	MTL	0	0	0.00
4	BOS	1	1	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2