New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-03-14 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 56.1%

NJD: 43.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.24

NJD: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs NJD: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DAL 4 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL
2025-12-03	NJD 0 - 3 DAL	DAL	NJD
2025-03-04	DAL 4 - 3 NJD	DAL	DAL
2025-02-22	NJD 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-14	DAL 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	2	1.13
1	NJD	6	1	0.78
2	DAL	18	0	1.08
2	NJD	13	1	0.88
3	DAL	24	0	1.47
3	NJD	8	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1