New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-03-14 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 58.6%
NJD: 41.4%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.89
NJD: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • DAL at home vs NJD: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | NJD 0 - 3 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2025-03-04 | DAL 4 - 3 NJD | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-22 | NJD 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2024-03-14 | DAL 2 - 6 NJD | NJD | DAL |
| 2024-01-20 | NJD 2 - 6 DAL | DAL | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:15 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:41 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:04 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:14 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:31 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 03:52 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 05:12 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 14:25 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3