Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-03-14 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.6%
WSH: 42.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.65
WSH: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | SEA | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.882 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | SEA 5 - 1 WSH | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-10-21 | WSH 4 - 1 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-09 | WSH 4 - 2 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0 - 3 WSH | WSH | SEA |
| 2024-03-14 | SEA 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:20 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:32 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:36 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.6 - 2.7