Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-03-14 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 58.2%
WSH: 41.8%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.23
WSH: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | SEA 5 - 1 WSH | SEA | WSH |
| 2025-10-21 | WSH 4 - 1 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-09 | WSH 4 - 2 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-03-14 | SEA 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 1 | WSH | 15 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 2 | SEA | 6 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 2 | WSH | 19 | 0 | 1.18 |
| 3 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 3 | WSH | 4 | 0 | 0.38 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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