Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-03-16 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 57.3%
PHI: 42.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.44
PHI: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 26-14-3 | 0.905 SV% | 2.77 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 21-11-7 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.883 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.904 | 0.970 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | PHI 3 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-10-29 | BOS 0 - 2 PHI | PHI | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 15:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:01 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 01:08 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:45 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:14 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:01 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:56 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1