Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-03-16 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 64.8%
LAK: 35.2%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.55
LAK: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 28-10-5 | 0.900 SV% | 2.62 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 16-13-10 | 0.897 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | DAL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | LAK 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | LAK |
| 2025-12-15 | DAL 4 - 1 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-23 | DAL 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | DAL |
| 2025-02-28 | DAL 6 - 2 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-07 | LAK 5 - 4 DAL | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:28 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:49 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:15 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:30 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:11 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8