Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-03-16 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 53.6%
MIN: 46.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.47
MIN: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 10-19-6 | 0.871 SV% | 3.47 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 24-11-6 | 0.911 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | STL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.902 | 0.926 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.762 | 0.959 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • STL at home vs MIN: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | MIN 1 - 3 STL | STL | MIN |
| 2025-10-09 | STL 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | STL |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1 - 5 STL | STL | MIN |
| 2025-01-07 | MIN 6 - 4 STL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-11-19 | STL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:49 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:27 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:10 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:01 | STL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | STL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | STL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.5 - 3.1