New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-03-17 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 60.6%
NYI: 39.4%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.28
NYI: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 22-12-6 | 0.914 SV% | 2.49 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 24-15-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.52 GAA
| Stat | NYR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.981 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | NYR 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2026-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-27 | NYI 2 - 0 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-08 | NYR 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-04-10 | NYI 2 - 9 NYR | NYR | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:08 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:27 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:55 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:01 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:36 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:42 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9