New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-03-17 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 61.4%
NJD: 38.6%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.96
NJD: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-9-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.61 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 19-16-1 | 0.886 SV% | 3.11 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs NJD: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | VGK 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | VGK |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2025-03-02 | VGK 2 - 0 NJD | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-06 | NJD 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2024-03-17 | VGK 3 - 1 NJD | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 00:38 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 02:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 11:06 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:41 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7