Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-03-17 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 51.9%
CAR: 48.1%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.64
CAR: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs CAR: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-11-16 | CAR 4 - 0 OTT | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:19 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 13:50 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 02:03 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:51 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:38 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:52 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:07 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1