Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-03-19 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 48.1%

OTT: 51.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.24

OTT: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	0	0.98
1	OTT	9	0	0.16
2	BOS	12	1	0.82
2	OTT	31	2	2.54
3	BOS	14	0	1.15
3	OTT	7	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1