Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-03-19 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 59.8%
PIT: 40.2%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.94
PIT: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 19-16-1 | 0.886 SV% | 3.11 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 20-13-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.901 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | PIT 4 - 1 NJD | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-01-08 | PIT 4 - 1 NJD | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-08 | NJD 2 - 1 PIT | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-11 | NJD 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | NJD |
| 2025-03-15 | PIT 7 - 3 NJD | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:35 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 07:16 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 14:20 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 08:58 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 09:14 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:53 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 17:15 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.9 - 2.8