Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-03-19 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 56.3%
WPG: 43.7%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.97
WPG: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 22-12-6 | 0.914 SV% | 2.49 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 17-18-9 | 0.901 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | NYR | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.907 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.688 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | WPG 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | WPG |
| 2025-03-11 | WPG 2 - 1 NYR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-12 | NYR 3 - 6 WPG | WPG | NYR |
| 2024-03-19 | NYR 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | NYR |
| 2023-10-30 | WPG 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:04 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 09:30 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 17:55 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:06 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2