Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-03-19 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 51.0%
CAR: 49.0%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.61
CAR: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 24-15-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.52 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 25-5-1 | 0.898 SV% | 2.37 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-17 | CAR 4 - 0 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-12-07 | NYI 4 - 3 CAR | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:48 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:58 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:22 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.6 - 3.5