Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-03-19 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

STL: 43.9%

COL: 56.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.04

COL: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs COL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	0.67
1	COL	20	0	0.82
2	STL	20	1	1.44
2	COL	18	1	1.04
3	STL	17	0	0.99
3	COL	9	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8