Montreal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-03-19 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 62.2%
MTL: 37.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.36
MTL: 2.30
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 16-9-2 | 0.883 SV% | 3.39 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 21-7-4 | 0.891 SV% | 2.97 GAA
| Stat | EDM | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.817 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.964 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MTL 4 - 1 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6 - 5 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-18 | MTL 3 - 0 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:20 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:55 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:32 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 04:43 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 03:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.4 - 2.3