Arizona Coyotes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-03-20 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 67.7%
ARI: 32.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.32
ARI: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 29-10-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.58 GAA
ARI
ARI: No goalie data
| Stat | DAL | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.932 | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs ARI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-24 | ARI 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | ARI |
| 2024-03-20 | DAL 5 - 2 ARI | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-11-14 | DAL 4 - 3 ARI | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:45 | ARI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:34 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:55 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:24 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:12 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:25 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:50 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7