New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-03-21 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 5 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 55.1%
NYR: 44.9%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.02
NYR: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 26-14-4 | 0.905 SV% | 2.77 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 22-13-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | BOS | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.913 | 0.927 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NYR: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | NYR 4 - 3 BOS | NYR | NYR |
| 2026-01-10 | BOS 10 - 2 NYR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-28 | BOS 2 - 6 NYR | NYR | BOS |
| 2025-02-05 | NYR 3 - 2 BOS | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-02-01 | BOS 6 - 3 NYR | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:58 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:25 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:17 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:08 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4