New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-03-21 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 50.5%

NYR: 49.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.17

NYR: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR
2025-02-01	BOS 6 - 3 NYR	BOS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	18	1	1.68
1	NYR	12	0	0.51
2	BOS	7	0	0.17
2	NYR	21	1	1.20
3	BOS	9	1	1.07
3	NYR	12	2	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4