Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-03-21 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 63.8%
PHI: 36.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.09
PHI: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 25-6-1 | 0.895 SV% | 2.45 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 22-11-7 | 0.907 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.835 | 0.896 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CAR at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR 3 - 2 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-13 | PHI 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2025-10-11 | CAR 4 - 3 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-15 | PHI 0 - 5 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2024-11-20 | PHI 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:56 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:21 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:43 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:16 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:28 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6